Order From Ashes

Talking with Syrian Exiles

More than five million Syrians, over one-fifth of the country’s prewar population, have left their homeland since the uprisings began in 2011. As President Bashar al-Assad claims victory and reconstruction talks ensue, many of these exiles, refugees, and émigrés see no possibilities for return.

On November 30, The Century Foundation published a report on national identity and belonging among Syrian exiles by TCF Foreign Policy associates Lily Hindy and Sima Ghaddar, based on their series of extended narrative interviews with displaced Syrians in Lebanon, Europe, and the United States. 

Participants include: 

• Thanassis Cambanis, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Lily Hindy, Policy Associate, The Century Foundation
• Sima Ghaddar, Contributor, The Century Foundation

Iraq after the Kurdish referendum

The Kurdish drive for independence has foundered and Iraq has reestablished control over disputed areas. Ethnic strains remain, and political divisions are flaring within Iraq’s major communities.

 

How much control does Iran really have over Iraq? Can Iraqi prime minister Haidar al-Abadi maintain his balancing act, keeping Iran and the United States both on his side, and avoiding dangerous strongman overreach?

 

We speak in Beirut with Renad Mansour, a research fellow at Chatham House, and Christine van den Toorn, director of the Institute of Regional and International Studies at American University of Iraq, Sulaimani.

 

Participants include: 

• Renad Mansour, research fellow at Chatham House
   
• Christine van den Toorn, director of the Institute of Regional and International Studies at American University of Iraq, Sulaimani.
• Thanassis Cambanis, senior fellow, The Century Foundation

Syria's Next Phase

As Syria’s conflict settles decisively into a new phase, much of the fight has moved to diplomatic salons. Reconstruction and normalization are the biggest questions of the day. If Syria is to be rebuilt, who will pay? If Bashar al-Assad wins the civil war outright, will the foreign governments that opposed him now change tack and reestablish full diplomatic relations?

 

These questions frame the Syrian government’s diplomatic agenda, as it tries to leverage battlefield gains to reap lasting political dividends. Western governments are perplexed, as they ponder whether and how to continue their opposition to Assad.

 

Participants include:

 

• Thanassis Cambanis, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Michael Wahid Hanna, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Aron Lund, Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Sam Heller, Fellow, The Century Foundation

Press Freedom in Egypt

Egypt is enduring the harshest crackdown on civil liberties and political freedom in its modern history. As media outlets, civic institutions, and political parties buckle or vanish under inordinate pressure, Mada Masr has managed to maintain a small space for free expression, publishing critical and engaging content in Arabic and English.

 

Founder and editor Lina Attalah, speaking in Cairo, discusses the risks and challenges of editing a publication that regularly publishes stories irksome to the government. She also discusses Mada’s experiments with collective management and reader engagement, as the publication seeks to succeed as a journalism business.

 

List of participants include:

 

• Lina Attalah, Editor of Mada Masr
• Thanassis Cambanis, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation

 

 

Hezbollah and Iran's Road

Has Iran secured a path to the Mediterranean, as some analysts and politicians claim? What is Hezbollah doing these days inside Syria? The Century Foundation’s foreign policy team considers some of the more alarming analysis of Hezbollah and Iran’s position.

 

Tehran and its Lebanese partner have achieved many of their aims in Syria, changing the strategic playing field — although some of the threat assessments seem inflated.

 

 

Participants include:

• Thanassis Cambanis, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Sima Ghaddar, Policy Associate, The Century Foundation
• Michael Wahid Hanna, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Aron Lund, Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Sam Heller, Fellow, The Century Foundation

Demythologize ISIS

In TCF World’s inaugural podcast episode, Century Foundation fellows Thanassis Cambanis, Michael Wahid Hanna, Aron Lund, and Sam Heller try to put to rest some of the mythology and exaggerations that have grown up around the Islamic State (also known as ISIS). After three years of power in a self-declared caliphate, ISIS is on the run from Mosul, its capital in Iraq, and is on the verge of defeat in its Syrian stronghold of Raqqa. Nonetheless, many commentators and U.S. policymakers still contend that ISIS is as powerful as ever, and is winning even while appearing to lose.

 

The Century Foundation’s foreign policy team considers drivers of the Islamic State’s resilience and resurgence, its actual strengths and potential, the impact of territorial losses, and the fragile commitment of some governments to exterminate ISIS.

 

This podcast is a remastered and edited version of a conversation originally posted on July 18, 2017.

 

 

Participants include:

• Thanassis Cambanis, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Michael Wahid Hanna, Senior Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Aron Lund, Fellow, The Century Foundation
• Sam Heller, Fellow, The Century Foundation